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Tipster Subscription Break-Even Calculator

How much profit does a tipster need to make for me to break even?

To break even on a tipster, their profit in points each month must at least equal the fee divided by your stake. A £29/month tipster followed at £10 a point must make 2.9 points a month — before you earn anything. Over 60 bets a month, that's a 4.8% ROI just to stand still.

%

Points needed / month

2.90

ROI to break even

4.8%

Your net per month

+£1.00

At £10.00 a point, this tipster must make 2.90 points a month (4.8% ROI over 60 bets) before you make a penny. At 5.0% ROI you'd gain about £1.00 a month, or £12.00 a year.

How it works

  • Points needed per month = monthly fee ÷ stake per point.
  • ROI needed to break even = points needed ÷ number of bets per month (turnover in points).
  • Your net profit = (stake × bets × tipster ROI) − fee. Profit, ROI and turnover are all measured at the prices you actually get, not the tipster's advertised best price.

Worked examples

£29/month, £10 stakes, 60 bets

2.9 points a month needed, a 4.8% ROI just to break even. At a genuine 5% ROI you'd make £1 a month.

£29/month, £25 stakes, 60 bets

1.16 points a month needed, a 1.9% ROI to break even. Bigger stakes make the fee matter less — but also raise your risk.

£49/month, £5 stakes, 30 bets

9.8 points a month needed, a 32.7% ROI to break even. Almost no long-term tipster sustains that, so small-stake bettors rarely profit from expensive tipsters.

Frequently asked questions

Divide the monthly fee by your stake per point. That's how many points of profit the tipster must make each month before you're in profit. For example, a £30 fee at £10 stakes needs 3 points a month. Then divide by their number of bets to get the ROI required.

Because most genuinely profitable tipsters make a modest ROI, often 3–10% over the long term. At small stakes, the fee can wipe out all of that. The smaller your stakes and the fewer bets a tipster posts, the higher the ROI needed just to cover the subscription.

A sustained long-term ROI of 5–10% to advised prices is very good, and anything consistently above 20% over hundreds of bets is rare. Be wary of short records showing huge ROI; small samples and missing losers can make almost anyone look exceptional.

Use it cautiously. Advertised ROI is usually calculated at the best price when the tip was sent, but prices often shorten within minutes. Knock a few percentage points off for price movement, and use their full, time-stamped record if they have one.

Yes. The fee is fixed, so larger stakes need a smaller ROI to break even. But only increase stakes within a bankroll you can afford to lose — never raise stakes just to make a subscription look worthwhile.
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For education only, not financial advice. 18+. When the fun stops, stop — BeGambleAware.org.

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