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Strike Rate Explained: Why Winning Often Isn't Enough

A high strike rate sounds great — but on its own it can hide a losing tipster. Here's what strike rate really tells you.

Strike Rate Explained: Why Winning Often Isn't Enough

Strike rate is one of the most quoted and most misunderstood betting stats. On its own it can be deeply misleading. This guide explains what it means and how to read it properly alongside odds.

What strike rate measures

Strike rate is simply the percentage of bets that win. Win 30 out of 100 bets and your strike rate is 30%.

Crucially, it ignores the odds you were betting at — which is why it can never tell you profitability by itself.

Strike rate vs odds

A 20% strike rate is excellent if you're consistently backing 8/1 shots, but terrible at odds-on. Always read strike rate together with the average odds.

This is why big-priced tipsters can be hugely profitable with a 'low' strike rate, while short-odds tipsters can lose money despite winning most bets.

Use it as a context clue, not a verdict

Strike rate helps you understand a tipster's style and how volatile the ride will be — high strike rate usually means smoother, low strike rate means bigger swings.

For the actual verdict on whether they make money, look at ROI and profit to advised prices.

Frequently asked questions

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